Mutually Non-Exclusive Events

Definition of Mutually Non-Exclusive Events:

Two events A and B are said to be mutually non exclusive events if both the events A and B have atleast one common outcome between them.

The events A and B cannot prevent the occurrence of one another so from here we can say that the events A and B have something common in them.

For example, in the case of rolling a die the event of getting an ‘odd-face’ and the event of getting ‘less than 4’ are not mutually exclusive and they are also known as compatible event.

The event of getting an ‘odd-face’ and the event of getting ‘less than 4’ occur when we get either 1 or 3.

Let ‘X’ is denoted as event of getting an ‘odd-face’ and

‘Y’ is denoted as event of getting ‘less than 4’

The events of getting an odd number (X) = {1, 3, 5}

The events of getting less than 4 (Y) = {1, 2, 3}

Between the events X and Y the common outcomes are 1 and 3

Therefore, the events X and Y are compatible events/mutually non-exclusive.


Addition Theorem Based on Mutually Non-Exclusive Events:

If X and Y are two mutually Non- Exclusive Events, then the probability of ‘X union Y’ is the difference between the sum of the probability of X and the probability of Y and the probability of ‘X intersection Y’ and represented as,

P(X ∪ Y) = P(X) + P(Y) - P(X ∩ Y)


Proof: The events X - XY, XY and Y - XY are pair-wise mutually exclusive events then,
X = (X - XY) + XY,
Y = XY + (Y - XY)
Now, P(X) = P(X - XY) + P(XY)
or, P(X - XY) = P(X) - P (XY)
Similarly, P(Y - XY) = P(Y) - P(XY)
Again, P(X + Y) = P(X - XY) + P(XY) + P(Y - XY)
⇒ P(X + Y) = P(X) - P(XY) + P(XY) + P(Y) - P(XY)
⇒ P(X + Y) = P(X) + P(Y) - P(XY)
⇒ P(X + Y) = P(X) + P(Y) - P(X) P(Y)

Therefore, P(X ∪ Y) = P(X) + P(Y) - P(X ∩ Y)


Worked-out problems on probability of Mutually Non-Exclusive Events:

1. What is the probability of getting a diamond or a queen from a well-shuffled deck of 52 cards?

Solution:

Let X be the event of ‘getting a diamond’ and,

Y be the event of ‘getting a queen’

We know that, in a well-shuffled deck of 52 cards there are 13 diamonds and 4 queens.

Therefore, probability of getting a diamond from well-shuffled deck of 52 cards = P(X) = 13/52 = 1/4

The probability of getting a queen from well-shuffled deck of 52 cards = P(Y) = 4/52 = 1/13

Similarly, the probability of getting a diamond queen from well-shuffled deck of 52 cards = P(X ∩ Y) = 1/52

According to the definition of mutually non-exclusive we know that, drawing of a well-shuffled deck of 52 cards ‘getting a diamond’ and ‘getting a queen’ are known as mutually non-exclusive events.
We have to find out Probability of X union Y.
So according to the addition theorem for mutually non- exclusive events, we get;

P(X ∪ Y) = P(X) + P(Y) - P(X ∩ Y)

Therefore, P(X U Y)

= 1/4 + 1/13 - 1/52

= (13 + 4 - 1)/52

= 16/52

= 4/13

Hence, probability of getting a diamond or a queen from a well-shuffled deck of 52 cards = 4/13

2. A lottery box contains 50 lottery tickets numbered 1 to 50. If a lottery ticket is drawn at random, what is the probability that the number drawn is a multiple of 3 or 5?

Solution:

Let X be the event of ‘getting a multiple of 3’ and,

Y be the event of ‘getting a multiple of 5’

The events of getting a multiple of 3 (X) = {3,6,9,12,15,18,21,24,27,30,
33,36,39,42,45,48}

Total number of multiple of 3 = 16

P(X) = 16/50 = 8/25

The events of getting a multiple of 5 (Y) = {5, 10, 15, 20, 25, 30, 35, 40, 45, 50}

Total number of multiple of 3 = 16

P(X) = 10/50 = 1/5

Between the events X and Y the favorable outcomes are 15, 30 and 45.

Total number of common multiple of both the number 3 and 5 = 3

The probability of getting a ‘multiple of 3’ and a ‘multiple of 5’ from the numbered 1 to 50 = P(X ∩ Y) = 3/50

Therefore, X and Y are non mutually exclusive events.

We have to find out Probability of X union Y.

So according to the addition theorem for mutually non- exclusive events, we get;

P(X ∪ Y) = P(X) + P(Y) - P(X ∩ Y)

Therefore, P(X U Y)

= 8/25 + 1/5 - 3/50

= (16 + 10 -3)/50

= 23/50

Hence, probability of getting multiple of 3 or 5 = 23/50









9th Grade Math

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